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 The VIX Has Never Been So High for So LongThe VIX has been above 50 for more than six weeks. As of the time of this writing, it is close to 63. It has never been this high for so long. When the VIX goes down, the market typically goes up. Often, in bear markets, it is difficult to forecast why the market should begin to rise.
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- Options News: STT, ADM November 6, 2009
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Looking into June, the market should begin refocusing on upcoming earnings reports for evidence the economy is gaining momentum.
Watching the Treasury's Actions
In the short-term, the government's bond auction is likely to be a key driver of stocks.
Treasury Auction Boosts Market
The Treasury's auction of two-year notes brought an upside surprise which should alleviate fears of a lack of demand for U.S. paper.
Credit Markets Point to Upturn
The credit market, a reliable indicator of equity direction, suggests we will break out of the SPX's trading range to the upside.
The market seems to be saying that a 30% move up from the lows is ahead of the real economy and the market needs to allow the economy to catch up.
