Worst and Best Trades From 2008
Houghton and Atkeson, January 1, 2009
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The Best of 2008
For the same reasons it is easy to find "worst" trades for 2008, it is tough to find "best" trades. The number of people or securities that showed a positive return for the year is a whole, positive integer but not much more than that.
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Looking into June, the market should begin refocusing on upcoming earnings reports for evidence the economy is gaining momentum.
Watching the Treasury's Actions
In the short-term, the government's bond auction is likely to be a key driver of stocks.
Treasury Auction Boosts Market
The Treasury's auction of two-year notes brought an upside surprise which should alleviate fears of a lack of demand for U.S. paper.
Credit Markets Point to Upturn
The credit market, a reliable indicator of equity direction, suggests we will break out of the SPX's trading range to the upside.
The market seems to be saying that a 30% move up from the lows is ahead of the real economy and the market needs to allow the economy to catch up.
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