Bulls or Bears: Who's Really in Charge?
by Sam Collins 07/02/09Following better-than-expected earnings from General Mills (GIS) and strong buying in Europe, the stock market opened higher yesterday, and within an hour the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) was ahead by 140 points.
Then, at 10 a.m., the Institute for Supply Management said that its index of manufacturing jumped to 44.8 in June from 42.8 in May and pending home sales increased 0.1%.
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But that was the extent of the positive news and the buying for the day. The rest of the session turned into a gradual sag until just before the close when selling picked up and the market closed on a down note.
The financial sector was the worst performer, down 0.5%, and energy stocks struggled, too, against falling oil prices. But pre-holiday volume was very light and, in the absence of an increase in volume, the early gains were either easily wiped out or reduced.
At the close, the Dow was up 57 points to 8,504, the S&P 500 (SPX) gained 4 points to 923, and the Nasdaq (NASD) gained 11 points to 1,846.
The NYSE traded just 877 million shares, with advancers ahead of decliners by 3-to-1. On the Nasdaq, 611 million shares traded, with advancers ahead by 2-to-1.
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The charts are bullish for both indices, and it looks like they could reach my immediate target.
Thursday's dramatic acceleration, coupled with a 'key reversal day' on Monday, leads me to the conclusion that the markets will continue to rise.
Our internal indicators are now telling us that stocks are still a good value at this level.
The recent pullback in the First Trust ISE-Revere Natural Gas Index Fund (FCG) could offer a good opportunity to accumulate shares.
Unless the S&P 500 closes below 1,020, investors should be buying into this decline.
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