Bulls Will Struggle Without Higher Volume
by Sam Collins 06/30/09The NYSE traded just over 1 billion shares, with advancers over decliners by 8-to-5. Nasdaq traded 632 million shares, but decliners were ahead by 7-to-5.
August crude oil closed at $71.49 a barrel, up $2.33, and the Energy Select Sector SPDR (XLE) gained 45 cents at $48.34.
August gold fell 30 cents to $940.70 an ounce as the dollar inched higher, and the PHLX Gold/Silver Index (XAU) fell 16 cents to $143.64.
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What the Markets Are Saying
Even though the S&P 500 gained almost 1% yesterday, the Nasdaq, the leading index of the last month, faltered and had a tough time making headway.
Those who use the candlestick method of charting will note a "doji" in the Nasdaq. This occurs when the open and close are about the same.
According to Chris Burba at S&P, the implication is that "after a powerful advance in the prior three days, the bulls lacked the conviction to extend gains today. It indicates that the uptrend has been halted."
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I've been noting that our internal indicators are overbought, but none of them actually issued a sell signal until yesterday.
Emerging Markets Fund Looks Tired
The iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Index Fund (EEM) has been a great performer but, like the broad market, is showing sign of fatigue.
Volume Declining to Lowest Level of the Year
Major investors are reluctant to put more cash to work until they are convinced that the economy is moving forward enough to warrant new investments.
Bulk Up Your Portfolio With SB
With shipping rates going up, dry bulk carrier Safe Bulkers Inc. (SB) has broken from a bullish formation.
Most technicians would consider a divergence in the Dow averages to be a potentially important indication that the market is tiring. But is this a serious problem, yet?
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