Cavium Networks (CAVM) Far from Caving
by Houghton and Atkeson 10/20/08Cavium Networks (CAVM) makes chips, security and network services processors for the networking world. Cisco (CSCO) is its largest customer, representing roughly 30% of revenues.
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The company reports earnings today after the close; options volume is running three times usual trading.
Market particpants have traded 4,810 calls and 298 puts. The calls are in the CAVM Nov 12.50 (QXAKV), March 12.50 (QXACV) and March 15 (QXACC) lines -- with the stock around $12.50.
Today's trading ahead of earnings isn't too uncommon, especially with 30% short interest, but since this is the second time in less than a week, traders might be getting positioned for a decent move.
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Looking into June, the market should begin refocusing on upcoming earnings reports for evidence the economy is gaining momentum.
Watching the Treasury's Actions
In the short-term, the government's bond auction is likely to be a key driver of stocks.
Treasury Auction Boosts Market
The Treasury's auction of two-year notes brought an upside surprise which should alleviate fears of a lack of demand for U.S. paper.
Credit Markets Point to Upturn
The credit market, a reliable indicator of equity direction, suggests we will break out of the SPX's trading range to the upside.
The market seems to be saying that a 30% move up from the lows is ahead of the real economy and the market needs to allow the economy to catch up.
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