Playing Defense: Lockheed Martin (LMT)
by Houghton and Atkeson 09/03/08With Afghanistan, Pakistan, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Saudi Arabia, much of Africa, Central and South America, North Korea and others engaged in activities that can cause our national security fears to run high and much of the U.S. Army deployed abroad, companies that make bullets, bombs, planes and guns have had a good run.
Lockheed Martin (LMT), maker of much of the highest-tech war equipment in the world, is up 10% ytd and hit its all-time high late last week.
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Option investors are getting nervous. Yesterday, more than 7,000 LMT Oct 110 Puts (LMTVB) were purchased. Additionally, option investors bought an additional 1,000 LMT Oct 105 Puts (LMTVA) for good measure.
The stock is currently trading at about $116 per share.
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Looking into June, the market should begin refocusing on upcoming earnings reports for evidence the economy is gaining momentum.
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In the short-term, the government's bond auction is likely to be a key driver of stocks.
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The credit market, a reliable indicator of equity direction, suggests we will break out of the SPX's trading range to the upside.
The market seems to be saying that a 30% move up from the lows is ahead of the real economy and the market needs to allow the economy to catch up.
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